Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali Betting tips for December 1 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 13:00

Krumovgrad 2.78

X 2.89

Arda Kardzhali 2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali

Some important points for the tip for Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Krumovgrad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Arda Kardzhali scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Krumovgrad matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Arda Kardzhali is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali for the Bulgaria First League – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali

Is it worth betting on Krumovgrad?

🔵 Krumovgrad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $569.60;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$110.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $585.90
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.10.

Is it worth betting on Arda Kardzhali?

🔴 Arda Kardzhali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $558.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$82.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Krumovgrad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Krumovgrad and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Krumovgrad.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Krumovgrad x Arda Kardzhali

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.