Winterthur x FC Sion Betting tips for December 1 in Switzerland Super League
📅 1/12/2024 13:15 |
Winterthur 3.79 |
X 3.52 |
FC Sion 1.90 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Winterthur x FC Sion:
🔮 FC Sion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Sion, you can win up to $950.00!
The main points for the tip for Winterthur x FC Sion: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Winterthur in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $300.0. |
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Analysis from Winterthur x FC Sion for the Switzerland Super League – 1 of December
🏟️ Winterthur X FC Sion – Switzerland Super League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Winterthur x FC Sion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Winterthur x FC Sion
Is it a good idea to bet on Winterthur?
🔵 Winterthur: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $334.80;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$545.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $579.60;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on FC Sion?
🔴 FC Sion: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $585.00;
- And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$235.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Winterthur x FC Sion
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Winterthur
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Winterthur x FC Sion
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Winterthur, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Winterthur.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 FC Sion.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Winterthur x FC Sion
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.