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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Larne FC x Cliftonville Betting tips for December 1 in Northern Ireland Premier
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 14h00 Northern Ireland Premier
Larne FC Larne FC
PREDICTION No tip
Cliftonville Cliftonville
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Larne FC x Cliftonville Betting tips for December 1 in Northern Ireland Premier

Our betting tip for Larne FC x Cliftonville, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
14:00
Larne FC Larne FC
2.00
X
3.25
Cliftonville Cliftonville
3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Larne FC x Cliftonville:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Larne FC x Cliftonville

Important information for your tip for Larne FC x Cliftonville:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Larne FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cliftonville scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cliftonville, Larne FC scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Larne FC x Cliftonville, with Larne FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Larne FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Cliftonville.
πŸ‘‰ Cliftonville is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
πŸ‘‰ Larne FC has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Cliftonville.

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Summary

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Analysis from Larne FC x Cliftonville for the Northern Ireland Premier – 1 of December

🏟️ Larne FC X Cliftonville – Northern Ireland Premier
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Larne FC – Winning probability: 43.64% | Fair line: 2.29
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.25% | Fair line: 3.96
πŸ”΄ Cliftonville – Winning probability: 31.11% | Fair line: 3.21
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Larne FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Larne FC and Cliftonville.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Larne FC x Cliftonville

Should you bet on Larne FC?

πŸ”΅ Larne FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $440.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$120.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $562.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$187.50.

Is betting on Cliftonville worth it?

πŸ”΄ Cliftonville: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $744.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$54.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Larne FC x Cliftonville

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Larne FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Larne FC x Cliftonville

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Larne FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Larne FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Cliftonville.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Larne FC x Cliftonville

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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