Sestri Levante x Perugia Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Sestri Levante x Perugia, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 14:00

Sestri Levante 3.75

X 3.10

Perugia 1.91

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sestri Levante x Perugia:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Sestri Levante x Perugia

Some important points for the tip for Sestri Levante x Perugia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sestri Levante in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Perugia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 Sestri Levante did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Perugia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Perugia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Perugia conceded at least 2 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sestri Levante x Perugia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sestri Levante x Perugia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sestri Levante x Perugia for the Italy Serie C Group B – 1 of December

When the best bet on Sestri Levante x Perugia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sestri Levante x Perugia

Is it worth betting on Sestri Levante?

🔵 Sestri Levante: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $632.50;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is it worth betting on Perugia?

🔴 Perugia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $455.00;
• And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$45.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sestri Levante x Perugia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sestri Levante
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sestri Levante x Perugia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Sestri Levante and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Sestri Levante.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sestri Levante x Perugia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.