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Home » Predictions » Others » Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice Betting tips for December 1 in Czech Republic First League
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 14h30 Czech Republic First League
Pardubice Pardubice
PREDICTION Pardubice wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice Betting tips for December 1 in Czech Republic First League

Our betting tip for Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
14:30
Pardubice Pardubice
1.70
X
3.60
Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice
4.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice:

🔮 Pardubice wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pardubice, you can win up to $850.00!

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The main points for the tip for Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pardubice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceske Budejovice in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Ceske Budejovice conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Pardubice conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Ceske Budejovice.
👉 It is not a good time for Ceske Budejovice as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice for the Czech Republic First League – 1 of December

🏟️ Pardubice X Ceske Budejovice – Czech Republic First League
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Pardubice – Winning probability: 60.92% | Fair line: 1.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.92% | Fair line: 4.56
🔴 Ceske Budejovice – Winning probability: 17.17% | Fair line: 5.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pardubice
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice

Should you bet on Pardubice?

🔵 Pardubice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $427.00;
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$37.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $572.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is betting on Ceske Budejovice worth it?

🔴 Ceske Budejovice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $561.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$269.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pardubice
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Pardubice, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Pardubice.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Ceske Budejovice.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pardubice x Ceske Budejovice

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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