Vejle x Midtjylland Betting tips for December 1 in Denmark Superligaen

Our betting tip for Vejle x Midtjylland, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 15:00

Vejle 5.13

X 4.45

Midtjylland 1.52

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Vejle x Midtjylland:

🔮 Midtjylland wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Midtjylland, you can win up to $760.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Vejle x Midtjylland: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vejle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Midtjylland in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Midtjylland did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Vejle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Midtjylland matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Midtjylland conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Vejle conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Midtjylland. 👉 It is not a good time for Midtjylland as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Vejle x Midtjylland?

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Analysis from Vejle x Midtjylland for the Denmark Superligaen – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vejle x Midtjylland right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vejle x Midtjylland

Should you bet on Vejle?

🔵 Vejle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $495.60;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$384.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $621.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$199.00.

Is it worth betting on Midtjylland?

🔴 Midtjylland: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – profiting $364.00;
• And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$64.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Vejle x Midtjylland

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Vejle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vejle x Midtjylland

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Vejle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Vejle.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vejle x Midtjylland

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.