OH Leuven x Anderlecht Betting tips for December 1 in Belgium First Division A
| 📅 1/12/2024 15:00 |
 OH Leuven2.90 |
X 3.30 |
Anderlecht  2.30 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for OH Leuven x Anderlecht:
🔮 Anderlecht wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Anderlecht, you can win up to $1150.00!
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The main points for the tip for OH Leuven x Anderlecht: 👉 If you had bet $100 on OH Leuven in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-380.0. |
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Analysis from OH Leuven x Anderlecht for the Belgium First Division A – 1 of December
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🏟️ OH Leuven X Anderlecht – Belgium First Division A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for OH Leuven x Anderlecht right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for OH Leuven x Anderlecht
Should you bet on OH Leuven?
🔵 OH Leuven: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $418.00
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$362.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $598.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.
Is betting on Anderlecht worth it?
🔴 Anderlecht: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $676.00;
- And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$196.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match OH Leuven x Anderlecht
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 OH Leuven
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for OH Leuven x Anderlecht
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 OH Leuven, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 OH Leuven.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Anderlecht.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for OH Leuven x Anderlecht
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
