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Home » Predictions » Others » Amarante x Sao Joao Ver Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Liga 3
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h00 Portugal Liga 3
Amarante Amarante
PREDICTION Amarante wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver
ODD: @1.71 Don't miss this prediction!

Amarante x Sao Joao Ver Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Amarante x Sao Joao Ver, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
15:00
Amarante Amarante
1.71
X
3.30
Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver
4.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Amarante x Sao Joao Ver:

🔮 Amarante wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Amarante, you can win up to $855.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Amarante x Sao Joao Ver:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Amarante in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $193.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Joao Ver in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Amarante scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Amarante is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Amarante x Sao Joao Ver for the Portugal Liga 3 – 1 of December

🏟️ Amarante X Sao Joao Ver – Portugal Liga 3
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Amarante – Winning probability: 65.10% | Fair line: 1.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.90% | Fair line: 4.18
🔴 Sao Joao Ver – Winning probability: 11.00% | Fair line: 9.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Amarante
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Amarante and Sao Joao Ver.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Amarante x Sao Joao Ver

Is it worth betting on Amarante?

🔵 Amarante: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $461.50
  • And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$111.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Sao Joao Ver?

🔴 Sao Joao Ver: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $374.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$516.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Amarante x Sao Joao Ver

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Amarante
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amarante x Sao Joao Ver

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Amarante, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Amarante.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amarante x Sao Joao Ver

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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