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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen Betting tips for December 1 in Germany 3.Liga
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h30 Germany 3.Liga
Saarbrucken Saarbrucken
PREDICTION No tip
Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen
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Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen Betting tips for December 1 in Germany 3.Liga

Our betting tip for Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
15:30
Saarbrucken Saarbrucken
1.80
X
3.75
Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen
3.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen

The main points for the tip for Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Saarbrucken in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $47.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rot-Weiss Essen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Rot-Weiss Essen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Rot-Weiss Essen conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen for the Germany 3.Liga – 1 of December

🏟️ Saarbrucken X Rot-Weiss Essen – Germany 3.Liga
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ Saarbrucken – Winning probability: 58.56% | Fair line: 1.71
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.34% | Fair line: 4.11
πŸ”΄ Rot-Weiss Essen – Winning probability: 17.09% | Fair line: 5.85
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Saarbrucken
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen

Is betting on Saarbrucken worth it?

πŸ”΅ Saarbrucken: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $472.00;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$62.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$100.00.

Should you bet on Rot-Weiss Essen?

πŸ”΄ Rot-Weiss Essen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $459.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$371.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Saarbrucken
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Saarbrucken and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Saarbrucken.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Saarbrucken x Rot-Weiss Essen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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