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Home » Predictions » Others » UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h30 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
UCAM Murcia CF UCAM Murcia CF
PREDICTION UCAM Murcia CF wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
San Fernando CD San Fernando CD
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
15:30
UCAM Murcia CF UCAM Murcia CF
1.68
X
3.35
San Fernando CD San Fernando CD
4.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD:

🔮 UCAM Murcia CF wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UCAM Murcia CF, you can win up to $840.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UCAM Murcia CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-62.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on San Fernando CD in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, UCAM Murcia CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against San Fernando CD, UCAM Murcia CF scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD, with UCAM Murcia CF as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, UCAM Murcia CF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, San Fernando CD conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, UCAM Murcia CF conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against San Fernando CD.
👉 It is not a good time for San Fernando CD as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 1 of December

🏟️ UCAM Murcia CF X San Fernando CD – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 UCAM Murcia CF – Winning probability: 64.12% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.08% | Fair line: 3.69
🔴 San Fernando CD – Winning probability: 8.80% | Fair line: 11.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 UCAM Murcia CF
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD

Is it a good idea to bet on UCAM Murcia CF?

🔵 UCAM Murcia CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $435.20;
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$75.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $634.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$95.50.

Is it worth betting on San Fernando CD?

🔴 San Fernando CD: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $310.50;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$599.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 UCAM Murcia CF
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 UCAM Murcia CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 UCAM Murcia CF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 UCAM Murcia CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UCAM Murcia CF x San Fernando CD

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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