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Home » Predictions » Others » FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis Betting tips for December 1 in Serbia Super Liga
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h00 Serbia Super Liga
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
PREDICTION FK Backa Topola wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis Betting tips for December 1 in Serbia Super Liga

Our betting tip for FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:00
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
1.60
X
3.80
Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis
4.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis:

🔮 FK Backa Topola wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Backa Topola, you can win up to $800.00!

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Some important points for the tip for FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Backa Topola in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Radnicki Nis scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Radnicki Nis, FK Backa Topola scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis, with FK Backa Topola as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 FK Backa Topola matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Radnicki Nis matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, FK Backa Topola conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 FK Backa Topola has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Radnicki Nis playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis for the Serbia Super Liga – 1 of December

🏟️ FK Backa Topola X Radnicki Nis – Serbia Super Liga
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 FK Backa Topola – Winning probability: 74.51% | Fair line: 1.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.63% | Fair line: 5.67
🔴 Radnicki Nis – Winning probability: 7.86% | Fair line: 12.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FK Backa Topola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis

Is it worth betting on FK Backa Topola?

🔵 FK Backa Topola: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$200.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Should you bet on Radnicki Nis?

🔴 Radnicki Nis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $288.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$632.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FK Backa Topola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 FK Backa Topola, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 FK Backa Topola.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Backa Topola x Radnicki Nis

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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