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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Toulouse x Auxerre Betting tips for December 1 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Toulouse Toulouse
PREDICTION Toulouse wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Auxerre Auxerre
ODD: @1.69 Don't miss this prediction!

Toulouse x Auxerre Betting tips for December 1 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Toulouse x Auxerre, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:00
Toulouse Toulouse
1.69
X
3.80
Auxerre Auxerre
4.66

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Toulouse x Auxerre:

🔮 Toulouse wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toulouse, you can win up to $845.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Toulouse x Auxerre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Toulouse scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Auxerre scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Auxerre, Toulouse scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Auxerre matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Auxerre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Toulouse has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Auxerre playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Toulouse x Auxerre?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Toulouse x Auxerre, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Toulouse x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ Toulouse X Auxerre – France Ligue 1
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Toulouse – Winning probability: 75.42% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.70% | Fair line: 6.8
🔴 Auxerre – Winning probability: 9.89% | Fair line: 10.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Toulouse
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Toulouse x Auxerre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Toulouse x Auxerre

Is it a good idea to bet on Toulouse?

🔵 Toulouse: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
  • And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$267.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is it worth betting on Auxerre?

🔴 Auxerre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $366.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$534.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Toulouse x Auxerre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Toulouse
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toulouse x Auxerre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Toulouse and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Toulouse.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toulouse x Auxerre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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