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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Le Havre x Angers Betting tips for December 1 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Le Havre Le Havre
PREDICTION Angers Wins Probability 35% 1 X 2
Angers Angers
ODD: @3.27 Don't miss this prediction!

Le Havre x Angers Betting tips for December 1 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Le Havre x Angers, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:00
Le Havre Le Havre
2.23
X
3.23
Angers Angers
3.27

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Le Havre x Angers:

🔮 Angers wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Angers, you can win up to $1635.00!

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Important information for your tip for Le Havre x Angers:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Le Havre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $700.0.
👉 In the last 6 Angers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Le Havre x Angers for the France Ligue 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ Le Havre X Angers – France Ligue 1
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Le Havre – Winning probability: 32.44% | Fair line: 3.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.38% | Fair line: 3.09
🔴 Angers – Winning probability: 35.18% | Fair line: 2.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Le Havre and Angers.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Le Havre x Angers

Is it a good idea to bet on Le Havre?

🔵 Le Havre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $393.60;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$286.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $713.60
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$33.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Angers?

🔴 Angers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $794.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$144.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Le Havre x Angers

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Le Havre x Angers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Le Havre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Le Havre.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Angers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Le Havre x Angers

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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