Lyon x Nice Betting tips for December 1 in France Ligue 1
📅 1/12/2024 16:00 |
Lyon 2.02 |
X 3.60 |
Nice 3.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lyon x Nice:
🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $1010.00!
🔮 Nice wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nice, you can win up to $1750.00!
The main points for the tip for Lyon x Nice: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-4.0. |
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Analysis from Lyon x Nice for the France Ligue 1 – 1 of December
🏟️ Lyon X Nice – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lyon x Nice right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lyon x Nice
Is betting on Lyon worth it?
🔵 Lyon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $632.40;
- And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$252.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $338.00;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.
Is betting on Nice worth it?
🔴 Nice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $625.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$125.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lyon x Nice
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lyon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lyon x Nice
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Lyon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Lyon.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Lyon.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lyon x Nice
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.