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Home » Predictions » Others » UP Langreo x Bergantinos Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
UP Langreo UP Langreo
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Bergantinos Bergantinos
ODD: @2.95 Don't miss this prediction!

UP Langreo x Bergantinos Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for UP Langreo x Bergantinos, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:00
UP Langreo UP Langreo
2.40
X
2.95
Bergantinos Bergantinos
2.68

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UP Langreo x Bergantinos:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for UP Langreo x Bergantinos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UP Langreo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bergantinos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, UP Langreo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bergantinos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for UP Langreo as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from UP Langreo x Bergantinos for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ UP Langreo X Bergantinos – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 UP Langreo – Winning probability: 38.95% | Fair line: 2.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.14% | Fair line: 2.93
🔴 Bergantinos – Winning probability: 26.92% | Fair line: 3.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UP Langreo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on UP Langreo x Bergantinos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UP Langreo x Bergantinos

Is it a good idea to bet on UP Langreo?

🔵 UP Langreo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $663.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$3.00.

Is betting on Bergantinos worth it?

🔴 Bergantinos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $453.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$276.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UP Langreo x Bergantinos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UP Langreo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UP Langreo x Bergantinos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 UP Langreo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 UP Langreo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UP Langreo x Bergantinos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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