Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 16:30

Pro Patria 2.20

X 2.90

Pro Vercelli 3.14

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli

Some important points for the tip for Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pro Patria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pro Vercelli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Pro Vercelli did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 Pro Patria matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Pro Patria has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Pro Vercelli playing at home.

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Analysis from Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli for the Italy Serie C Group A – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli

Is betting on Pro Patria worth it?

🔵 Pro Patria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $636.00;
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$166.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $589.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.

Should you bet on Pro Vercelli?

🔴 Pro Vercelli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $342.40
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$497.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pro Patria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Pro Patria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Pro Patria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Pro Vercelli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pro Patria x Pro Vercelli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.