Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec Betting tips for December 1 in Czech Republic First League

Our betting tip for Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 17:30

Viktoria Plzen 1.53

X 4.00

FK Jablonec 5.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec:

🔮 Viktoria Plzen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Viktoria Plzen, you can win up to $765.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Viktoria Plzen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $418.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Jablonec in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $21.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Viktoria Plzen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FK Jablonec, Viktoria Plzen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 FK Jablonec matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec, with Viktoria Plzen as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Viktoria Plzen is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Viktoria Plzen has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FK Jablonec playing at home.

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Analysis from Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec for the Czech Republic First League – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec

Is betting on Viktoria Plzen worth it?

🔵 Viktoria Plzen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $392.20;
• And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$132.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $510.00;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Should you bet on FK Jablonec?

🔴 FK Jablonec: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $360.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Viktoria Plzen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Viktoria Plzen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Viktoria Plzen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 FK Jablonec.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Viktoria Plzen x FK Jablonec

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.