Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao Betting tips for December 1 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 17:30

Rayo Vallecano 2.89

X 3.10

Athletic Bilbao 2.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao:

🔮 Athletic Bilbao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletic Bilbao, you can win up to $1300.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Rayo Vallecano scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao, with Rayo Vallecano as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Athletic Bilbao is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Athletic Bilbao has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao for the Spain La Liga – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao

Is it worth betting on Rayo Vallecano?

🔵 Rayo Vallecano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $396.90;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$393.10.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$256.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Athletic Bilbao?

🔴 Athletic Bilbao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $880.00
• And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$430.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Rayo Vallecano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Rayo Vallecano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Rayo Vallecano.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Rayo Vallecano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rayo Vallecano x Athletic Bilbao

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.