Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC Betting tips for December 1 in Hungary NB I
📅 1/12/2024 18:30 |
Ujpest 4.22 |
X 3.70 |
Ferencvarosi TC 1.68 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC:
🔮 Ferencvarosi TC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ferencvarosi TC, you can win up to $840.00!
Some important points for the tip for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ujpest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. |
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Analysis from Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC for the Hungary NB I – 1 of December
🏟️ Ujpest X Ferencvarosi TC – Hungary NB I |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ujpest and Ferencvarosi TC.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC
Is betting on Ujpest worth it?
🔵 Ujpest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $322.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$578.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $594.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$186.00.
Is betting on Ferencvarosi TC worth it?
🔴 Ferencvarosi TC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $462.40
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$142.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ujpest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Ujpest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Ujpest.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Ujpest.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.