Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln Betting tips for December 1 in Germany 3.Liga

Our betting tip for Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 18:30

Wehen SV 1.89

X 3.60

FC Viktoria Köln 3.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln:

🔮 Wehen SV wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wehen SV, you can win up to $945.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Wehen SV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Viktoria Köln in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against FC Viktoria Köln, Wehen SV scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, FC Viktoria Köln conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Wehen SV conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against FC Viktoria Köln. 👉 Wehen SV has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against FC Viktoria Köln playing at home.

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Analysis from Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln for the Germany 3.Liga – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln

Is it worth betting on Wehen SV?

🔵 Wehen SV: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $498.40;
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$58.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $754.00
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$44.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on FC Viktoria Köln?

🔴 FC Viktoria Köln: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $392.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$448.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Wehen SV
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Wehen SV and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Wehen SV.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 FC Viktoria Köln.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wehen SV x FC Viktoria Köln

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.