Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa Betting tips for December 1 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 20:30

Barcelona Guayaquil 1.75

X 3.62

Mushuc Runa 4.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa:

🔮 Barcelona Guayaquil wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona Guayaquil, you can win up to $875.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona Guayaquil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $106.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mushuc Runa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Barcelona Guayaquil scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mushuc Runa, Barcelona Guayaquil scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Barcelona Guayaquil matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Mushuc Runa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Barcelona Guayaquil is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Barcelona Guayaquil has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Mushuc Runa.

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Analysis from Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230541 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa

Should you bet on Barcelona Guayaquil?

🔵 Barcelona Guayaquil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $577.50;
• And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$347.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $393.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$457.00.

Is it worth betting on Mushuc Runa?

🔴 Mushuc Runa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $240.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Barcelona Guayaquil
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Barcelona Guayaquil, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Barcelona Guayaquil. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Mushuc Runa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.