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Home » Predictions » Others » El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario Betting tips for December 1 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 20h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
El Nacional El Nacional
PREDICTION Tecnico Universitario Wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario Betting tips for December 1 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
20:30
El Nacional El Nacional
2.65
X
3.20
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
2.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario:

🔮 Tecnico Universitario wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tecnico Universitario, you can win up to $1200.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario:

👉 If you had bet $100 on El Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tecnico Universitario in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Tecnico Universitario scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, El Nacional conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Tecnico Universitario.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Tecnico Universitario has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 1 of December

🏟️ El Nacional X Tecnico Universitario – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 El Nacional – Winning probability: 9.15% | Fair line: 10.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.12% | Fair line: 6.2
🔴 Tecnico Universitario – Winning probability: 74.73% | Fair line: 1.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 El Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230541 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario

Is it a good idea to bet on El Nacional?

🔵 El Nacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $148.50;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$761.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $352.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$488.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tecnico Universitario?

🔴 Tecnico Universitario: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $1050.00;
  • And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$800.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 El Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 El Nacional, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 El Nacional.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Tecnico Universitario.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Nacional x Tecnico Universitario

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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