Herediano x Santos de Guápiles Betting tips for December 1 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Herediano x Santos de Guápiles, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 21:00

Herediano 1.26

X 5.00

Santos de Guápiles 9.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Herediano x Santos de Guápiles:

🔮 Herediano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Herediano, you can win up to $630.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Herediano x Santos de Guápiles: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Herediano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos de Guápiles in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Herediano scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Santos de Guápiles, Herediano scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Herediano matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Herediano x Santos de Guápiles, with Herediano as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Herediano conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Santos de Guápiles conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Herediano has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Santos de Guápiles playing at home.

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Analysis from Herediano x Santos de Guápiles for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 1 of December

When the best bet on Herediano x Santos de Guápiles is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230541 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Herediano x Santos de Guápiles

Is it worth betting on Herediano?

🔵 Herediano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $236.60;
• And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$146.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $280.00;
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is it worth betting on Santos de Guápiles?

🔴 Santos de Guápiles: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $160.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$820.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Herediano x Santos de Guápiles

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Herediano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Herediano x Santos de Guápiles

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Herediano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Herediano.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Herediano x Santos de Guápiles

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.