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Home Β» Predictions Β» Pescara U19 x Spezia U19 Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Campionato Primavera 2
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 10h30 Italy Campionato Primavera 2
Pescara U19 Pescara U19
PREDICTION No tip
Spezia U19 Spezia U19
Don't miss this prediction!

Pescara U19 x Spezia U19 Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Campionato Primavera 2

Our betting tip for Pescara U19 x Spezia U19, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
10:30
Pescara U19 Pescara U19
2.30
X
3.55
Spezia U19 Spezia U19
2.48

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pescara U19 x Spezia U19:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Pescara U19 x Spezia U19

Some important points for the tip for Pescara U19 x Spezia U19:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pescara U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-143.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Pescara U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Spezia U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Spezia U19, Pescara U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Pescara U19 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Spezia U19 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Pescara U19 x Spezia U19, with Pescara U19 as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Pescara U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Spezia U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Pescara U19 conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Spezia U19.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Pescara U19 x Spezia U19?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Pescara U19 x Spezia U19:

Analysis from Pescara U19 x Spezia U19 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 2 – 30 of November

🏟️ Pescara U19 X Spezia U19 – Italy Campionato Primavera 2
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 10:30
πŸ”΅ Pescara U19 – Winning probability: 35.21% | Fair line: 2.84
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.64% | Fair line: 3.9
πŸ”΄ Spezia U19 – Winning probability: 39.14% | Fair line: 2.55
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pescara U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pescara U19 and Spezia U19.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229758 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pescara U19 x Spezia U19

Is betting on Pescara U19 worth it?

πŸ”΅ Pescara U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$195.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $663.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$77.00.

Is betting on Spezia U19 worth it?

πŸ”΄ Spezia U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $577.20
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$32.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pescara U19 x Spezia U19

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pescara U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pescara U19 x Spezia U19

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Pescara U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Pescara U19.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Spezia U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pescara U19 x Spezia U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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