Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19 Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Youth League
π
30/11/2024 10:30 |
Barcelona U19 1.62 |
X 3.75 |
Espanyol U19 4.78 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19
Important information for your tip for Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19: π If you had bet $100 on Barcelona U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $210.0. |
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Analysis from Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19 for the Spain Youth League – 30 of November
ποΈ Barcelona U19 X Espanyol U19 – Spain Youth League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229758 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19
Should you bet on Barcelona U19?
π΅ Barcelona U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $372.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$28.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $715.00
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$25.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Espanyol U19?
π΄ Espanyol U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $491.40
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$378.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Barcelona U19
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Barcelona U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Barcelona U19.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona U19 x Espanyol U19
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.