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Home » Predictions » CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 21h30 Mexico Segunda Division
CD Mexiquense CD Mexiquense
PREDICTION CD Mexiquense wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Artesanos Metepec FC Artesanos Metepec FC
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
21:30
CD Mexiquense CD Mexiquense
1.85
X
3.40
Artesanos Metepec FC Artesanos Metepec FC
3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC:

🔮 CD Mexiquense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Mexiquense, you can win up to $925.00!

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Important information for your tip for CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Mexiquense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $166.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Artesanos Metepec FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Artesanos Metepec FC did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CD Mexiquense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Artesanos Metepec FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC for the Mexico Segunda Division – 30 of November

🏟️ CD Mexiquense X Artesanos Metepec FC – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 CD Mexiquense – Winning probability: 53.89% | Fair line: 1.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.29% | Fair line: 4.12
🔴 Artesanos Metepec FC – Winning probability: 21.82% | Fair line: 4.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Mexiquense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC

Is betting on CD Mexiquense worth it?

🔵 CD Mexiquense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $459.00
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$1.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it worth betting on Artesanos Metepec FC?

🔴 Artesanos Metepec FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$208.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Mexiquense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 CD Mexiquense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CD Mexiquense.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Mexiquense x Artesanos Metepec FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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