U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 23:00

U.A. Zacatecas 1.30

X 4.80

Mineros de Fresnillo 8.09

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo:

🔮 U.A. Zacatecas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on U.A. Zacatecas, you can win up to $650.00!

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The main points for the tip for U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on U.A. Zacatecas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $172.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Fresnillo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, U.A. Zacatecas scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mineros de Fresnillo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mineros de Fresnillo, U.A. Zacatecas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 U.A. Zacatecas matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Mineros de Fresnillo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Mineros de Fresnillo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, U.A. Zacatecas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Mineros de Fresnillo. 👉 U.A. Zacatecas is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 U.A. Zacatecas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Mineros de Fresnillo playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Mineros de Fresnillo as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo for the Mexico Segunda Division – 30 of November

When the best bet on U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo

Is it a good idea to bet on U.A. Zacatecas?

🔵 U.A. Zacatecas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $264.00;
• And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$144.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $380.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$520.00.

Should you bet on Mineros de Fresnillo?

🔴 Mineros de Fresnillo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $141.80;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$838.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 U.A. Zacatecas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 U.A. Zacatecas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 U.A. Zacatecas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Mineros de Fresnillo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for U.A. Zacatecas x Mineros de Fresnillo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.