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Home » Predictions » Chile Women x Uruguay Women Betting tips for November 30 in Women’s International
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 23h00 Women’s International
Chile Women Chile Women
PREDICTION Chile Women wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Uruguay Women Uruguay Women
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Chile Women x Uruguay Women Betting tips for November 30 in Women’s International

Our betting tip for Chile Women x Uruguay Women, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
23:00
Chile Women Chile Women
1.65
X
3.58
Uruguay Women Uruguay Women
4.28

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chile Women x Uruguay Women:

🔮 Chile Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chile Women, you can win up to $825.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Chile Women x Uruguay Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Uruguay Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Chile Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Uruguay Women, Chile Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Uruguay Women matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Chile Women is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Chile Women has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Uruguay Women playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chile Women x Uruguay Women for the Women’s International – 30 of November

🏟️ Chile Women X Uruguay Women – Women’s International
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Chile Women – Winning probability: 65.26% | Fair line: 1.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.80% | Fair line: 4.03
🔴 Uruguay Women – Winning probability: 9.94% | Fair line: 10.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chile Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chile Women x Uruguay Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chile Women x Uruguay Women

Is it worth betting on Chile Women?

🔵 Chile Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $422.50
  • And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$72.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $645.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$105.00.

Is betting on Uruguay Women worth it?

🔴 Uruguay Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $328.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$572.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chile Women x Uruguay Women

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chile Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chile Women x Uruguay Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Chile Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Chile Women.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chile Women x Uruguay Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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