Conil CF x Sevilla C Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 10

Our betting tip for Conil CF x Sevilla C, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

Conil CF 2.00

X 3.10

Sevilla C 3.49

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Conil CF x Sevilla C:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Conil CF x Sevilla C

Some important points for the tip for Conil CF x Sevilla C: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Conil CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sevilla C, Conil CF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Sevilla C matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Conil CF x Sevilla C for the Spain Tercera Group 10 – 1 of December

When the best bet on Conil CF x Sevilla C is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Conil CF x Sevilla C

Is it worth betting on Conil CF?

🔵 Conil CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $490.00;
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $651.00;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$39.00.

Should you bet on Sevilla C?

🔴 Sevilla C: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $498.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$302.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Conil CF x Sevilla C

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Conil CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Conil CF x Sevilla C

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Conil CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Conil CF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Conil CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Conil CF x Sevilla C

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.