Lenense x Caudal Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 2

Our betting tip for Lenense x Caudal, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

Lenense 5.91

X 3.80

Caudal 1.48

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lenense x Caudal:

🔮 Caudal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caudal, you can win up to $740.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Lenense x Caudal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caudal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $102.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Caudal scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Caudal, Lenense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Lenense x Caudal, with Lenense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Caudal matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Lenense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Caudal. 👉 Lenense has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Caudal playing at home.

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Analysis from Lenense x Caudal for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lenense x Caudal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lenense x Caudal

Is it a good idea to bet on Lenense?

🔵 Lenense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $196.40;
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$763.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $448.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$392.00.

Should you bet on Caudal?

🔴 Caudal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 800 times – profiting $384.00;
• And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lenense x Caudal

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Lenense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lenense x Caudal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Lenense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Lenense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Caudal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lenense x Caudal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.