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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar Betting tips for December 1 in Montenegro Prva Liga
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 12h00 Montenegro Prva Liga
OFK Petrovac OFK Petrovac
PREDICTION No tip
FK Mornar Bar FK Mornar Bar
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OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar Betting tips for December 1 in Montenegro Prva Liga

Our betting tip for OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
12:00
OFK Petrovac OFK Petrovac
2.12
X
2.92
FK Mornar Bar FK Mornar Bar
3.42

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar

Some important points for the tip for OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on OFK Petrovac in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Mornar Bar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $887.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, OFK Petrovac scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar, with OFK Petrovac as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar for the Montenegro Prva Liga – 1 of December

🏟️ OFK Petrovac X FK Mornar Bar – Montenegro Prva Liga
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ OFK Petrovac – Winning probability: 47.89% | Fair line: 2.09
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.68% | Fair line: 3.37
πŸ”΄ FK Mornar Bar – Winning probability: 22.43% | Fair line: 4.46
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 OFK Petrovac
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between OFK Petrovac and FK Mornar Bar.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar

Is it a good idea to bet on OFK Petrovac?

πŸ”΅ OFK Petrovac: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $537.60
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$17.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$124.00.

Should you bet on FK Mornar Bar?

πŸ”΄ FK Mornar Bar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $532.40
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$247.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 OFK Petrovac
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 OFK Petrovac and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 OFK Petrovac.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 OFK Petrovac.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for OFK Petrovac x FK Mornar Bar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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