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Home » Predictions » Others » Roma City x Castelfidardo Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Roma City Roma City
PREDICTION No tip
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
Don't miss this prediction!

Roma City x Castelfidardo Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Roma City x Castelfidardo, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
Roma City Roma City
2.25
X
3.00
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Roma City x Castelfidardo:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Roma City x Castelfidardo

Important information for your tip for Roma City x Castelfidardo:

👉 Roma City did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 Roma City matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Roma City x Castelfidardo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Roma City x Castelfidardo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Roma City x Castelfidardo for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ Roma City X Castelfidardo – Italy Serie D
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Roma City – Winning probability: 39.93% | Fair line: 2.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.05% | Fair line: 3.03
🔴 Castelfidardo – Winning probability: 27.01% | Fair line: 3.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Roma City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Roma City and Castelfidardo.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Roma City x Castelfidardo

Is betting on Roma City worth it?

🔵 Roma City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $660.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is betting on Castelfidardo worth it?

🔴 Castelfidardo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $513.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Roma City x Castelfidardo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Roma City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma City x Castelfidardo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Roma City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Roma City.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma City x Castelfidardo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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