Gavorrano x Robur Siena Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Gavorrano x Robur Siena, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 13:30

Gavorrano 2.05

X 3.13

Robur Siena 3.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Gavorrano x Robur Siena:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Gavorrano x Robur Siena

The main points for the tip for Gavorrano x Robur Siena: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gavorrano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-122.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Robur Siena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Robur Siena conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Gavorrano conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Robur Siena.

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Analysis from Gavorrano x Robur Siena for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gavorrano x Robur Siena right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gavorrano x Robur Siena

Is betting on Gavorrano worth it?

🔵 Gavorrano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – profiting $483.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$57.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $639.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$61.00.

Should you bet on Robur Siena?

🔴 Robur Siena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $532.80;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$227.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gavorrano x Robur Siena

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gavorrano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gavorrano x Robur Siena

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Gavorrano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Gavorrano.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gavorrano x Robur Siena

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.