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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
AC Mestre AC Mestre
PREDICTION No tip
Real Calepina FC Real Calepina FC
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AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
13:30
AC Mestre AC Mestre
2.15
X
3.10
Real Calepina FC Real Calepina FC
3.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC

Important information for your tip for AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Calepina FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, AC Mestre scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Real Calepina FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 AC Mestre matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, AC Mestre conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ AC Mestre X Real Calepina FC – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ AC Mestre – Winning probability: 47.76% | Fair line: 2.09
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.24% | Fair line: 3.1
πŸ”΄ Real Calepina FC – Winning probability: 20.00% | Fair line: 5.0
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AC Mestre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC

Is it a good idea to bet on AC Mestre?

πŸ”΅ AC Mestre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$32.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Real Calepina FC?

πŸ”΄ Real Calepina FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$380.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AC Mestre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 AC Mestre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AC Mestre.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Real Calepina FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Mestre x Real Calepina FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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