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Home » Predictions » Others » Sambiase x Acireale Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Sambiase Sambiase
PREDICTION Sambiase wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Acireale Acireale
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Sambiase x Acireale Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Sambiase x Acireale, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
Sambiase Sambiase
1.38
X
4.15
Acireale Acireale
7.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sambiase x Acireale:

🔮 Sambiase wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sambiase, you can win up to $690.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Sambiase x Acireale:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Acireale in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sambiase scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Acireale conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Acireale as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sambiase x Acireale?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sambiase x Acireale, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sambiase x Acireale for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ Sambiase X Acireale – Italy Serie D
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Sambiase – Winning probability: 77.39% | Fair line: 1.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.95% | Fair line: 6.27
🔴 Acireale – Winning probability: 6.67% | Fair line: 15.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sambiase
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sambiase x Acireale right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sambiase x Acireale

Is betting on Sambiase worth it?

🔵 Sambiase: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $292.60
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$62.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$336.00.

Is it worth betting on Acireale?

🔴 Acireale: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$510.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sambiase x Acireale

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sambiase
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sambiase x Acireale

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Sambiase, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Sambiase.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Sambiase.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sambiase x Acireale

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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