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Home » Predictions » Others » AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
AC San Marino Calcio AC San Marino Calcio
PREDICTION No tip
Sammaurese Sammaurese
Don't miss this prediction!

AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
AC San Marino Calcio AC San Marino Calcio
1.81
X
3.30
Sammaurese Sammaurese
3.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese

The main points for the tip for AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sammaurese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.

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Summary

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Analysis from AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ AC San Marino Calcio X Sammaurese – Italy Serie D
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 AC San Marino Calcio – Winning probability: 51.71% | Fair line: 1.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.41% | Fair line: 3.29
🔴 Sammaurese – Winning probability: 17.88% | Fair line: 5.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AC San Marino Calcio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese

Is it worth betting on AC San Marino Calcio?

🔵 AC San Marino Calcio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $421.20;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$58.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $690.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$10.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on Sammaurese?

🔴 Sammaurese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AC San Marino Calcio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 AC San Marino Calcio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 AC San Marino Calcio.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC San Marino Calcio x Sammaurese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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