Mosconia x Tuilla Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 2

Our betting tip for Mosconia x Tuilla, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 16:00

Mosconia 1.45

X 3.82

Tuilla 5.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mosconia x Tuilla:

🔮 Mosconia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mosconia, you can win up to $725.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Mosconia x Tuilla: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mosconia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tuilla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. 👉 In the last 3 Tuilla matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Mosconia conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Tuilla conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Mosconia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Tuilla.

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Analysis from Mosconia x Tuilla for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mosconia x Tuilla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mosconia x Tuilla

Is it worth betting on Mosconia?

🔵 Mosconia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 840 times – profiting $378.00;
• And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$218.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $338.40;
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$541.60.

Is betting on Tuilla worth it?

🔴 Tuilla: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $245.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$705.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mosconia x Tuilla

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mosconia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mosconia x Tuilla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Mosconia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Mosconia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Tuilla.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mosconia x Tuilla

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.