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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Estradense x UD Ourense Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h00 Spain Tercera Group 1
CD Estradense CD Estradense
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
UD Ourense UD Ourense
ODD: @3.08 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Estradense x UD Ourense Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for CD Estradense x UD Ourense, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:00
CD Estradense CD Estradense
2.28
X
3.08
UD Ourense UD Ourense
2.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Estradense x UD Ourense:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1540.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CD Estradense x UD Ourense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Estradense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-124.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CD Estradense x UD Ourense, with CD Estradense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, UD Ourense has not lost any of them.
👉 CD Estradense has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against UD Ourense playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CD Estradense x UD Ourense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Estradense x UD Ourense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Estradense x UD Ourense for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ CD Estradense X UD Ourense – Spain Tercera Group 1
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 CD Estradense – Winning probability: 39.81% | Fair line: 2.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.85% | Fair line: 2.87
🔴 UD Ourense – Winning probability: 25.34% | Fair line: 3.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Estradense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Estradense x UD Ourense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Estradense x UD Ourense

Is betting on CD Estradense worth it?

🔵 CD Estradense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $512.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$88.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $728.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$78.00.

Is it worth betting on UD Ourense?

🔴 UD Ourense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $467.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$282.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Estradense x UD Ourense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Estradense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Estradense x UD Ourense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 CD Estradense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Estradense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CD Estradense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Estradense x UD Ourense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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