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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 5
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h15 Spain Tercera Group 5
UE Vilassar de Mar UE Vilassar de Mar
PREDICTION No tip
CFJ Mollerussa CFJ Mollerussa
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UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 5

Our betting tip for UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
16:15
UE Vilassar de Mar UE Vilassar de Mar
1.90
X
3.28
CFJ Mollerussa CFJ Mollerussa
3.53

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa

The main points for the tip for UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UE Vilassar de Mar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CFJ Mollerussa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, CFJ Mollerussa scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 CFJ Mollerussa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, CFJ Mollerussa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, CFJ Mollerussa has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa for the Spain Tercera Group 5 – 1 of December

🏟️ UE Vilassar de Mar X CFJ Mollerussa – Spain Tercera Group 5
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 16:15
πŸ”΅ UE Vilassar de Mar – Winning probability: 47.26% | Fair line: 2.12
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.54% | Fair line: 3.92
πŸ”΄ CFJ Mollerussa – Winning probability: 27.21% | Fair line: 3.68
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UE Vilassar de Mar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa

Is betting on UE Vilassar de Mar worth it?

πŸ”΅ UE Vilassar de Mar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $423.00;
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$107.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $592.80;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$147.20.

Should you bet on CFJ Mollerussa?

πŸ”΄ CFJ Mollerussa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $683.10;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$46.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UE Vilassar de Mar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 UE Vilassar de Mar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 UE Vilassar de Mar.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CFJ Mollerussa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UE Vilassar de Mar x CFJ Mollerussa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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