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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane Betting tips for December 1 in Morocco GNF 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 17h00 Morocco GNF 1
Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida
PREDICTION No tip
RSB Berkane RSB Berkane
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Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane Betting tips for December 1 in Morocco GNF 1

Our betting tip for Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
17:00
Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida
3.62
X
2.98
RSB Berkane RSB Berkane
2.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane

Important information for your tip for Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Difaa El Jadida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on RSB Berkane in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $445.0.
πŸ‘‰ Difaa El Jadida did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, RSB Berkane scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Difaa El Jadida matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane, with Difaa El Jadida as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, RSB Berkane has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Difaa El Jadida has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against RSB Berkane playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane for the Morocco GNF 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ Difaa El Jadida X RSB Berkane – Morocco GNF 1
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 17:00
πŸ”΅ Difaa El Jadida – Winning probability: 14.95% | Fair line: 6.69
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.84% | Fair line: 3.04
πŸ”΄ RSB Berkane – Winning probability: 52.21% | Fair line: 1.92
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Difaa El Jadida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane

Is it worth betting on Difaa El Jadida?

πŸ”΅ Difaa El Jadida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $393.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$457.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $653.40
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$16.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on RSB Berkane?

πŸ”΄ RSB Berkane: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $530.40
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$50.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Difaa El Jadida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Difaa El Jadida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Difaa El Jadida.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Difaa El Jadida.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Difaa El Jadida x RSB Berkane

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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