Marsa FC x Zurrieq FC Betting tips for December 1 in Malta Challenge League
| 📅 1/12/2024 17:30 |
 Marsa FC1.94 |
X 3.68 |
Zurrieq FC  3.24 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marsa FC x Zurrieq FC:
🔮 Marsa FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marsa FC, you can win up to $970.00!
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Important information for your tip for Marsa FC x Zurrieq FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marsa FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-133.0. |
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Analysis from Marsa FC x Zurrieq FC for the Malta Challenge League – 1 of December
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🏟️ Marsa FC X Zurrieq FC – Malta Challenge League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marsa FC and Zurrieq FC.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Marsa FC x Zurrieq FC
Should you bet on Marsa FC?
🔵 Marsa FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $611.00
- And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$261.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $509.20;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$300.80.
Is it worth betting on Zurrieq FC?
🔴 Zurrieq FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $336.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$514.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Marsa FC x Zurrieq FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Marsa FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marsa FC x Zurrieq FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Marsa FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Marsa FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marsa FC x Zurrieq FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
