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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Monopoli x Avellino Betting tips for December 2 in Italy Serie C Group C
Monday, 02 December 2024, 19h30 Italy Serie C Group C
Monopoli Monopoli
PREDICTION No tip
Avellino Avellino
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Monopoli x Avellino Betting tips for December 2 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Monopoli x Avellino, Monday, 2/12/2024
πŸ“… 2/12/2024
19:30
Monopoli Monopoli
3.30
X
3.11
Avellino Avellino
2.07

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monopoli x Avellino:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Monopoli x Avellino

Important information for your tip for Monopoli x Avellino:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monopoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avellino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $117.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Monopoli scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Monopoli conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Avellino has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Monopoli x Avellino?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monopoli x Avellino, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monopoli x Avellino for the Italy Serie C Group C – 2 of December

🏟️ Monopoli X Avellino – Italy Serie C Group C
πŸ“… 2 of December, 2024 – 19:30
πŸ”΅ Monopoli – Winning probability: 27.18% | Fair line: 3.68
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.44% | Fair line: 3.08
πŸ”΄ Avellino – Winning probability: 40.38% | Fair line: 2.48
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Monopoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monopoli x Avellino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230608 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monopoli x Avellino

Is betting on Monopoli worth it?

πŸ”΅ Monopoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $621.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$109.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $675.20;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$4.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Avellino?

πŸ”΄ Avellino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $428.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$172.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monopoli x Avellino

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Monopoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monopoli x Avellino

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Monopoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Monopoli.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monopoli x Avellino

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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