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Home » Predictions » Others » Pontedera x Spal Betting tips for December 2 in Italy Serie C Group B
Monday, 02 December 2024, 19h30 Italy Serie C Group B
Pontedera Pontedera
PREDICTION Spal Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Spal Spal
ODD: @2.61 Don't miss this prediction!

Pontedera x Spal Betting tips for December 2 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Pontedera x Spal, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
19:30
Pontedera Pontedera
2.48
X
3.10
Spal Spal
2.61

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Pontedera x Spal:

🔮 Spal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Spal, you can win up to $1305.00!

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Important information for your tip for Pontedera x Spal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontedera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Spal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-32.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Pontedera scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Spal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Spal matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Pontedera conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Pontedera conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Spal.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Pontedera x Spal?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Pontedera x Spal for the Italy Serie C Group B – 2 of December

🏟️ Pontedera X Spal – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Pontedera – Winning probability: 28.31% | Fair line: 3.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.69% | Fair line: 6.37
🔴 Spal – Winning probability: 56.00% | Fair line: 1.79
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pontedera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pontedera x Spal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230608 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pontedera x Spal

Is betting on Pontedera worth it?

🔵 Pontedera: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $414.40;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$305.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $336.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$504.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Spal?

🔴 Spal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $901.60;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$461.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pontedera x Spal

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pontedera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pontedera x Spal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Pontedera and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Pontedera.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Spal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pontedera x Spal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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