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Home » Predictions » Others » Platense x Union Santa Fe Betting tips for December 2 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Monday, 02 December 2024, 22h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
Platense Platense
PREDICTION Platense wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
ODD: @2.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Platense x Union Santa Fe Betting tips for December 2 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Platense x Union Santa Fe, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
22:15
Platense Platense
2.38
X
2.80
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
3.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Platense x Union Santa Fe:

🔮 Platense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Platense, you can win up to $1190.00!

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The main points for the tip for Platense x Union Santa Fe:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Platense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $210.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Union Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Platense x Union Santa Fe for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 2 of December

🏟️ Platense X Union Santa Fe – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 22:15
🔵 Platense – Winning probability: 53.09% | Fair line: 1.88
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.60% | Fair line: 3.76
🔴 Union Santa Fe – Winning probability: 20.31% | Fair line: 4.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Platense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Platense x Union Santa Fe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1231409 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Platense x Union Santa Fe

Is it a good idea to bet on Platense?

🔵 Platense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $731.40;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$261.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $486.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

Should you bet on Union Santa Fe?

🔴 Union Santa Fe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Platense x Union Santa Fe

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Platense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Platense x Union Santa Fe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Platense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Platense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Union Santa Fe.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Platense x Union Santa Fe

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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