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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for December 2 in Colombia Primera A
Monday, 02 December 2024, 23h30 Colombia Primera A
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
PREDICTION Independiente Santa Fe wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for December 2 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
23:30
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
1.90
X
3.10
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
4.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto:

🔮 Independiente Santa Fe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Santa Fe, you can win up to $950.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-137.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportivo Pasto conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Deportivo Pasto.

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Summary

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Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto for the Colombia Primera A – 2 of December

🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Deportivo Pasto – Colombia Primera A
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe – Winning probability: 65.91% | Fair line: 1.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.47% | Fair line: 5.73
🔴 Deportivo Pasto – Winning probability: 16.62% | Fair line: 6.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente Santa Fe and Deportivo Pasto.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1231409 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto

Should you bet on Independiente Santa Fe?

🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $594.00;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$254.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $357.00
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$473.00.

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Pasto?

🔴 Deportivo Pasto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $557.60;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$272.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Independiente Santa Fe.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Independiente Santa Fe.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pasto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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