Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev Betting tips for December 1 in Belarus Premier League

Our betting tip for Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

Shakhter Soligorsk 2.20

X 3.21

Dnepr Mogilev 2.82

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev

Some important points for the tip for Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Shakhter Soligorsk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dnepr Mogilev in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Dnepr Mogilev scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Dnepr Mogilev, Shakhter Soligorsk scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev, with Shakhter Soligorsk as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Shakhter Soligorsk conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Dnepr Mogilev conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Shakhter Soligorsk has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Dnepr Mogilev playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Shakhter Soligorsk as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev for the Belarus Premier League – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev

Is it worth betting on Shakhter Soligorsk?

🔵 Shakhter Soligorsk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$32.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $574.60;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$165.40.

Is it worth betting on Dnepr Mogilev?

🔴 Dnepr Mogilev: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$154.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Shakhter Soligorsk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Shakhter Soligorsk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Shakhter Soligorsk.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shakhter Soligorsk x Dnepr Mogilev

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.