Arsenal x Manchester United Betting tips for December 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Manchester United, Wednesday, 4/12/2024

📅 4/12/2024 20:15

Arsenal 1.50

X 4.33

Manchester United 6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arsenal x Manchester United:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Arsenal x Manchester United: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-133.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 In the last 3 Manchester United matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Manchester United did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Manchester United has not lost any of them. 👉 Arsenal has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Manchester United playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Arsenal x Manchester United?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Arsenal x Manchester United:

Analysis from Arsenal x Manchester United for the England Premier League – 4 of December

When the best bet on Arsenal x Manchester United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232622 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Manchester United

Is it worth betting on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 860 times – profiting $430.00;
• And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$290.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $233.10;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$696.90.

Is it worth betting on Manchester United?

🔴 Manchester United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $350.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Manchester United

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Manchester United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Arsenal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Arsenal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Manchester United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.