Marbella FC x Burgos Betting tips for December 5 in Spain Copa del Rey
| 📅 5/12/2024 19:00 |
 Marbella FC3.30 |
X 3.00 |
Burgos  2.25 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Marbella FC x Burgos:
🔮 Burgos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burgos, you can win up to $1125.00!
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Important information for your tip for Marbella FC x Burgos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marbella FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $145.0. |
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Analysis from Marbella FC x Burgos for the Spain Copa del Rey – 5 of December
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🏟️ Marbella FC X Burgos – Spain Copa del Rey |
When the best bet on Marbella FC x Burgos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232622 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Marbella FC x Burgos
Should you bet on Marbella FC?
🔵 Marbella FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$43.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $320.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$520.00.
Is it worth betting on Burgos?
🔴 Burgos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $687.50;
- And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$237.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Marbella FC x Burgos
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Marbella FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marbella FC x Burgos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Marbella FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Marbella FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marbella FC x Burgos
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
