Anderlecht x Westerlo Betting tips for December 5 in Belgium Cup
| 📅 5/12/2024 19:30 |
 Anderlecht1.70 |
X 3.90 |
Westerlo  4.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Anderlecht x Westerlo:
🔮 Anderlecht wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Anderlecht, you can win up to $850.00!
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The main points for the tip for Anderlecht x Westerlo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Anderlecht in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $178.0. |
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Analysis from Anderlecht x Westerlo for the Belgium Cup – 5 of December
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🏟️ Anderlecht X Westerlo – Belgium Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Anderlecht x Westerlo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232622 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Anderlecht x Westerlo
Is it a good idea to bet on Anderlecht?
🔵 Anderlecht: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 800 times – profiting $560.00;
- And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$360.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $319.00
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$571.00.
Is it worth betting on Westerlo?
🔴 Westerlo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Anderlecht x Westerlo
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Anderlecht
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Anderlecht x Westerlo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Anderlecht and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Anderlecht.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Anderlecht.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Anderlecht x Westerlo
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.
