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Home » Predictions » Others » UE Olot x Sevilla Betting tips for December 5 in Spain Copa del Rey
Thursday, 05 December 2024, 20h00 Spain Copa del Rey
UE Olot UE Olot
PREDICTION Sevilla Wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Sevilla Sevilla
ODD: @1.29 Don't miss this prediction!

UE Olot x Sevilla Betting tips for December 5 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for UE Olot x Sevilla, Thursday, 5/12/2024
📅 5/12/2024
20:00
UE Olot UE Olot
9.11
X
5.00
Sevilla Sevilla
1.29

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UE Olot x Sevilla:

🔮 Sevilla wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sevilla, you can win up to $645.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for UE Olot x Sevilla:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UE Olot in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sevilla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-155.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, UE Olot conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from UE Olot x Sevilla for the Spain Copa del Rey – 5 of December

🏟️ UE Olot X Sevilla – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 5 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 UE Olot – Winning probability: 0.60% | Fair line: 166.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.32% | Fair line: 43.07
🔴 Sevilla – Winning probability: 97.08% | Fair line: 1.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 UE Olot
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UE Olot x Sevilla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1232622 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UE Olot x Sevilla

Is it a good idea to bet on UE Olot?

🔵 UE Olot: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $81.10;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$908.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $80.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$900.00.

Is betting on Sevilla worth it?

🔴 Sevilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 97.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $281.30
  • And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$251.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UE Olot x Sevilla

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 UE Olot
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UE Olot x Sevilla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 UE Olot, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 UE Olot.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Sevilla.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UE Olot x Sevilla

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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